Hi ZS, assuming that whether or not one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in either case?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as wages event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent affairs. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the possibility of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets one after the other (if that is what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.
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